About the author
Sarah Whitfield is Markets Editor at PolyGram with a focus on political prediction markets. She has tracked election forecasting since the 2020 US presidential cycle and specialises in benchmarking Polymarket-implied probability against polling aggregators and election-model outputs.
Sarah's beat covers US presidential and congressional contracts, UK parliamentary markets, and major EU election cycles. She analyses how market prices move on debate performance, endorsements, and breaking campaign developments — and where prediction markets lead or lag traditional polling.
Before PolyGram, Sarah covered Westminster politics for a UK national daily. She holds an MA in International Relations.
Areas of expertise
Political ForecastingElection MarketsUS PoliticsUK PoliticsPollingPrediction Markets
Recent articles by Sarah Whitfield
Polymarket Crypto Prediction Markets: Trading Bitcoin and Ethereum Outcomes
1 April 2026Polymarket crypto prediction markets
What Are Prediction Markets? A Complete Guide for 2026
28 April 2026what are prediction markets
Understanding Liquidity in Prediction Markets
1 May 2026prediction market liquidity
Prediction Markets vs Polls: Which Is More Accurate?
1 May 2026prediction markets vs polls
Kelly Criterion for Prediction Markets: Size Your Bets
1 May 2026Kelly criterion prediction markets
2026 FIFA World Cup Predictions: Live Odds & Analysis
1 May 2026World Cup 2026 prediction odds
Polymarket Banned Countries: Where You Can and Can't Trade
1 May 2026Polymarket banned countries
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? The Research
1 May 2026prediction market accuracy
What Is a Prediction Market? The Complete 2026 Guide
1 May 2026what is a prediction market
Will Bitcoin Hit $100K in 2026? Prediction Market Odds Analyzed
1 May 2026will bitcoin hit 100k 2026
Kalshi Alternative 2026: Why PolyGram Beats CFTC-Regulated Markets
1 May 2026kalshi alternative
How to Deposit on PolyGram: USDC, Credit Card & Bank Transfer Guide
1 May 2026prediction market deposit guide
Prediction Market APIs for Developers: Access Live Market Data & Order Books
1 May 2026prediction market API
How to Withdraw from Prediction Markets: Cashing Out Your USDC Winnings
1 May 2026prediction market withdrawal
Crypto Prediction Markets 2026: Bitcoin, Ethereum & Altcoin Forecasting Guide
1 May 2026crypto prediction market
Sports Betting ROI vs Prediction Markets: Which Is More Profitable Long-Term?
1 May 2026sports betting vs prediction market ROI
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? Research & Evidence from 2016-2026
1 May 2026how accurate are prediction markets
CLOB vs AMM in Prediction Markets: Which Order Matching Is Better?
1 May 2026CLOB vs AMM prediction market
AI Prediction Markets 2026: Trade GPT-5, AGI Timelines & Tech Milestones
1 May 2026AI prediction markets 2026
Boxing Prediction Markets 2026: Undisputed Champions & Title Fight Odds
1 May 2026boxing prediction market 2026
Ethereum ETF Prediction Markets 2026: Staking, AUM & What Comes Next
2 May 2026ethereum ETF prediction market
Gold Price Prediction Markets 2026: XAU/USD Milestones & Safe Haven Odds
2 May 2026gold price prediction market 2026
Inflation Prediction Markets 2026: CPI, PCE & Fed Target Markets
2 May 2026inflation prediction market 2026
Cricket Prediction Markets 2026: ICC Events, Ashes & T20 World Cup Odds
2 May 2026cricket prediction market 2026
Oscars 2027 Prediction Markets: Best Picture, Director & Actor Odds
2 May 2026Oscars prediction market 2027
Solana Prediction Markets 2026: SOL Price, ETF Odds & Ecosystem Milestones
2 May 2026solana prediction market 2026
Building a Prediction Market Portfolio: Diversification & Risk Strategy 2026
2 May 2026prediction market portfolio strategy
US Open Tennis 2026 Prediction Markets: Men's & Women's Champion Odds
2 May 2026US Open tennis prediction market 2026
NHL Stanley Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Championship Odds & Playoff Guide
2 May 2026NHL Stanley Cup prediction market 2026
French Open 2026 Prediction Markets: Roland Garros Champion Odds & Clay Analysis
2 May 2026French Open 2026 prediction market
Esports Prediction Markets 2026: LoL, CS2, Valorant & Major Tournament Odds
2 May 2026esports prediction market 2026
Polymarket vs Betfair 2026: Which Exchange Is Better for Sports Traders?
2 May 2026polymarket vs betfair
Prediction Market Bankroll Management: Never Blow Up Your Account
2 May 2026prediction market bankroll management
Winter Sports Prediction Markets 2026: Skiing, Snowboarding & Ice Sports
2 May 2026winter sports prediction market 2026
La Liga Prediction Markets 2025/26: Real Madrid, Barcelona & Title Race Odds
2 May 2026la liga prediction market 2026