Bitcoin price on June 13?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's noon ET price on 13 June 2026 will settle against the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at that specific timestamp. The market's 0% implied probability reflects the difficulty of pinpointing a precise price level eighteen months forward; Bitcoin's intraday volatility routinely spans 2–5% within single trading sessions, making noon-specific settlement inherently uncertain compared to daily closes. For traders building conditional orders or algorithmic execution strategies, this market functions as a granular volatility hedge rather than a directional bet—the resolution mechanism ties to Binance's 1m candle data, which requires direct API integration to verify settlement rather than relying on aggregated price feeds.

Historical precedent suggests that single-day price predictions for Bitcoin cluster near 50% probability only when the settlement window closes within 48 hours. Markets settling 6+ months out typically trade between 5–15% across any given bracket, as macro catalysts—regulatory announcements, Federal Reserve policy shifts, and institutional adoption milestones—reshape price expectations unpredictably. The 13 June 2026 date carries no scheduled major event; traders should monitor Q2 2026 earnings seasons, any ECB or Bank of England rate decisions, and Bitcoin's halving cycle positioning, which last occurred in April 2024.

For programmatic traders, the critical consideration is Binance's data availability and candle construction during market hours. Setting up webhook alerts for the specific timestamp and building fallback verification against multiple exchange feeds mitigates settlement disputes. The "higher bracket on exact midpoint" rule requires precision in order placement if targeting boundary prices.

Methodology

We track Bitcoin price on June 13? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.