Bitcoin price on June 21?

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the final one-minute close price of BTC/USDT on Binance at noon Eastern Time on 21 June 2026, which will determine whether the market resolves to a specific price bracket or “No”. Programmatic traders would fetch this exact candle via Binance’s public API, filtering for the 1-minute timeframe and the “Close” field at the precise timestamp, then compare it against the bracket thresholds to automate conditional orders.

Historically, similar June 2026 price points have clustered around $63,900–$64,300, with Binance’s own prediction model forecasting $63,986.89 for 21 June and a 5% rise over the next 30 days[1][2]. Comparable cases show that when crowd-implied probability sits at 0% for a price bracket, it often reflects a mismatch between the bracket’s lower bound and the prevailing market range, not necessarily a lack of volatility. Traders should note that Bitcoin’s current live price is $64,044.28, with a 24-hour high of $64,588.00, suggesting the asset is already near the upper edge of many June brackets[2][6].

Key catalysts to monitor include the Federal Reserve’s mid-June interest rate decision, which could shift risk appetite, and Binance’s scheduled network upgrade on 25 June that may affect liquidity[3]. Recent trader sentiment on Binance Square anticipates Bitcoin reaching $80,000 by end of June, a 14% increase from current levels, indicating strong bullish momentum that could push prices above conservative brackets[3]. Conditional order bots should weight these dependencies, especially if the Fed’s stance tightens or if the Binance upgrade triggers temporary sell-offs.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.