Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| 62,000-64,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 72,000-74,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| <56,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 56,000-58,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 58,000-60,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 60,000-62,000 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
The underlying event is the final closing price of the BTC/USDT pair on Binance at noon Eastern Time on 24 June 2026, derived from the 1-minute candle close. This specific timestamp dictates the resolution of the market, where any price falling between bracket ranges resolves to the higher bracket. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% for a "Yes" outcome suggests the market expects the price to remain below the lowest defined threshold, a sentiment that aligns with recent downward momentum where Bitcoin declined 0.9% over the past 24 hours to approximately $62,445.99[6].
Historical comparables frame this low probability, such as the June 1 market where the price settled at $72,145.11, marking a significant drop from the previous year and the all-time high of $126,198.07 recorded in October 2025[4][1]. In contrast, the daily "Up or Down" market for the same date shows a 64% probability for an upward move, indicating volatility rather than a sustained crash, yet the absolute price level remains the critical factor for this specific bracketed market[3]. A power-user approaching this programmatically would script a bot to monitor the Binance 1-minute candle close directly, comparing the live feed against the bracket thresholds rather than relying on aggregate sentiment.
Traders must watch the key technical level at $64,000, as a breach below this point could accelerate the decline toward the next target zone of $54,000–$56,000[9]. Recent market analysis notes that Bitcoin is currently ignoring short-term support, with further downside potential toward $40,000–$50,000 if the $64,000 level fails[9]. Dependencies include the US economic calendar and any scheduled Federal Reserve announcements, which often drive immediate volatility in crypto assets. The live price currently sits at $62,350.01, reinforcing the bearish bias that justifies the 0% probability for higher brackets[7].
Methodology
This page reviews Bitcoin price on June 24? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Bitcoin price on June 24? on Polymarket Bot UK
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