Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Bitcoin’s June 20 print is the spot level used by the market’s settlement definition, so the practical task is to map a single timestamp into a price band rather than forecast the whole day’s range. That is why low-probability outcomes are usually driven by how traders model the exact fixing time, exchange continuity, and whether their data feed matches the venue used by the market rather than by broad directional calls.
Recent comparables suggest the crowd was already anchoring well below the late-May spot range. Yahoo Finance showed BTC around $76,749 on 20 May 2026, while Fortune put it at $66,965 on 3 June 2026, and SoFi’s 2026 history noted a January high near $97,860 and a February low near $60,074, with early March oscillating between roughly $65,000 and $73,000.[8][2][7] Robinhood prediction listings for the same date were clustering around bands such as $62,700-$63,199 and $63,600-$63,699, and Coinbase’s June ladder showed $60,500 or above at 99% for a later June checkpoint, which helps explain why a 0% YES line can reflect a stale or narrow strike rather than a blanket view on BTC.[1][3]
For a trader running this programmatically, the main checks are the exchange calendar, the exact settlement timestamp, and any inputs that can move BTC through a threshold late in the session: ETF flow headlines, macro releases, and any large derivatives expiry or rebalancing print. Binance’s model still projected BTC around $64,233.95 on 20 June 2026, which is close enough to nearby market bands that even a modest intraday move can flip a range outcome if the bot is watching only the final snapshot.[4]
Methodology
This page reviews What price will Bitcoin hit on June 20? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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