Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs

Market context

The CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs features 100 Thieves, a North American organisation competing in European competition, against Ursa in a Round 16 best-of-three match scheduled for 4 June at 10:00 AM ET. The match determines progression through the tournament bracket. Settlement occurs at 20:10 UTC on the same date, allowing approximately ten hours for match completion from the scheduled start time.

The 90% implied probability reflects 100 Thieves' roster strength and established competitive standing. Comparable CCT fixtures involving established North American teams against emerging European squads have historically favoured the former, though upsets occur in approximately 10–15% of such matchups. Ursa's prior tournament performances and head-to-head records against similarly ranked opposition provide the baseline for assessing whether this probability accurately prices their upset potential. Recent roster changes or substitutions for either team would materially shift this assessment.

Traders monitoring this market should track official CCT scheduling announcements for any delays or rescheduling beyond the seven-day threshold, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Conditional order logic should account for the forfeiture clause—if 100 Thieves withdraw after the match begins, Ursa receives the win regardless of round score. Real-time match feeds from HLTV or ESL platforms provide granular data for tracking series progress; automating settlement monitoring against these sources reduces manual verification overhead. Any announcement of player unavailability or technical issues affecting either team in the 24 hours preceding the match represents a material catalyst requiring position reassessment.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.