Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike 2 Semifinal 1 match between Inner Circle Esports and Sharks, scheduled for 8:00 AM ET on 27 June 2026 within the Super DraculaN Playoffs. This Best-of-3 contest determines which team advances, with the market resolving to Inner Circle if they win, Sharks if they win, and a 50-50 split if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a result.

Historical precedents from the lower bracket show Sharks already defeating Inner Circle 2-0 in the Digital Crusade qualifier, winning on Mirage and Nuke before advancing to playoffs while Inner Circle dropped to the lower bracket[4]. Thunderbook odds currently favour Inner Circle slightly at 1.78 versus Sharks at 1.92, yet the 0% crowd-implied probability suggests traders are pricing in a near-certain Sharks victory, mirroring the qualifier outcome where map veto strategies, particularly banning Nuke to neutralise Sharks’ strength, shaped the series[1]. Programmatically, conditional orders would trigger on Sharks’ win probability exceeding 54% as verified by HLTV and Gamers World data[3].

Key catalysts include the live map veto sequence, where Inner Circle’s ability to ban Nuke could shift momentum, and any delays in the LAN broadcast starting at 8:00 AM EDT[5]. Traders should monitor real-time odds updates from Kalshi, where Sharks hold a 54% chance with a 4-point drop in probability, and watch for schedule dependencies such as the $150,000 prize pool LAN event timing[3]. Recent coverage from GOCORE confirms the map veto is the decisive factor, with Inner Circle’s strategy to push neutral maps critical to overturning Sharks’ qualifier dominance[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.