Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5) | 100% Infinite | 0% Betclic Apogee Esports |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Infinite | 0% Betclic Apogee Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Infinite | 0% Betclic Apogee Esports |
| Map Handicap: BCA (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5) | 0% Betclic Apogee Esports | 100% Infinite |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-6.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+6.5) | 0% Infinite | 100% Betclic Apogee Esports |
Market context
The real-world event is the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final between Infinite and Betclic Apogee Esports in the Super DraculaN Group B, scheduled for 25 June at 2:00PM ET. This match determines the winner of the bracket, with the market resolving to "Infinite" if they win, or "Betclic Apogee Esports" if they prevail. A cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days without a winner triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Historically, lower-bracket finals in tournaments like DraculaN Playoffs show that teams with 0% crowd-implied probability often face severe roster instability or prior elimination from upper brackets, making a win statistically improbable [2]. Comparable cases from the ESL Challenger League Cup reveal that Portuguese organisations partially owned by gambling firms, such as Betclic Apogee Esports, frequently struggle against established teams when facing elimination pressure, with match highlights indicating inconsistent performance under duress [3]. Programmatically, traders should model this as a conditional order where the probability of a win is negligible unless a roster change is announced.
Traders must monitor official team schedules and roster announcements, as Betclic Apogee Esports currently has no upcoming matches listed, suggesting potential disqualification or inactive status [6]. A catalyst would be an official confirmation of the match proceeding, which is unlikely given the 0% probability and the team’s absence from recent fixtures. Recent news from Liquipedia confirms Betclic Apogee Esports is a Portuguese organisation partially owned by Betclic, a French gambling company, but does not indicate active participation in the current tournament [1]. For bot-driven strategies, set a conditional order to cancel if no match confirmation is received within 24 hours of the scheduled time.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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