Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% Johnny Speeds | 100% roamsfiest |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: JS (-1.5) vs roamsfiest (+1.5) | 0% Johnny Speeds | 100% roamsfiest |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Johnny Speeds | 100% roamsfiest |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Johnny Speeds | 0% roamsfiest |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
The real-world event is the lower-bracket semifinal in Counter-Strike 2 between Johnny Speeds and roamsfiest at the Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs, which concluded on 27 June 2026 with roamsfiest winning 2–1 in a Best-of-3 format. This match outcome is now settled, meaning the prediction market titled "Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest" will resolve to "roamsfiest" as the victor, rendering the current 0% YES probability for Johnny Speeds accurate and final[1][2].
Historically, lower-bracket matches in C-Tier Swedish CS2 tournaments like this one often feature tight, high-variance outcomes where world ranking gaps (roamsfiest at 97 versus Johnny Speeds at 58) do not guarantee results, as seen in comparable Fragbite-hosted events where underdogs frequently overturn odds in BO3 formats[1][5]. Programmatically, traders evaluating such markets would deploy conditional orders that trigger only upon live score confirmations from APIs like GosuGamers or Bo3.gg, avoiding pre-match exposure given the volatility inherent in lower-bracket play where a single map loss can shift the entire series[1][2].
Key catalysts for similar unsettled markets include official match status updates from tournament organisers Fragbite and Esplay, real-time score feeds confirming completion, and dependencies on server stability or player availability, though none apply here as the match is already ended[2][5]. A trader approaching this programmatically would monitor the Liquipedia tournament page for final resolution flags and cross-reference with live score aggregators to confirm the 2–1 result before executing any settlement logic, ensuring no exposure to delayed or cancelled scenarios that would trigger the 50–50 fallback clause[2][5].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
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