Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Magic and FaZe will contest the upper bracket semifinal of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs in Counter-Strike, a best-of-three match scheduled for 28 May at 11:00 ET. The 90% implied probability for Magic reflects their standing as the stronger outfit in this matchup, though the specific seeding and recent form of both rosters merit scrutiny before settlement. FaZe's roster composition and recent LAN performances against comparable opposition provide the baseline for assessing whether the crowd probability adequately prices their upset potential.

Historical precedent in Stake Ranked tournaments shows that upper bracket semifinals frequently produce results aligned with seeding when the probability gap exceeds 80%, though roster changes and map pool shifts can compress expected margins. Magic's trajectory through earlier rounds and their head-to-head record against FaZe in recent online qualifiers should anchor any programmatic evaluation; traders monitoring conditional orders on this market would benefit from tracking whether either team announces roster adjustments or coaching changes in the 48 hours preceding the fixture. The settlement window's 7-day buffer for delays is material—technical issues or scheduling conflicts have historically triggered resolution extensions in Stake events.

Traders employing copy-trading or bot-assisted position management should flag the match start time against their execution infrastructure, as the 11:00 ET window may fall outside peak liquidity windows depending on regional market activity. The forfeit clause creates a discrete settlement risk distinct from competitive outcome; monitoring official Stake communications and team social channels for withdrawal announcements becomes a prerequisite for managing tail-risk exposure.

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.