Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Ninjas in Pyjamas face FaZe Clan in the lower bracket final of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs, a best-of-three Counter-Strike match scheduled for 30 May at 09:00 ET. The winner advances to the grand final; the loser is eliminated. Both organisations field competitive rosters capable of taking maps off top-tier opposition, making this a genuine competitive fixture rather than a predetermined outcome. The 100% crowd-implied probability reflects either exceptional confidence in one team's superiority or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful price discovery.
Historical precedent suggests lower bracket finals in tier-one Counter-Strike tournaments rarely settle at extreme probabilities when both teams have reached that stage. NIP's recent form and map pool strength against FaZe's tactical flexibility would typically generate odds closer to 55–65% for the favoured side. The settlement window's seven-day buffer accommodates standard rescheduling without triggering a 50-50 resolution, though forfeiture or disqualification remains possible if either organisation faces roster or administrative complications.
Traders implementing conditional orders should monitor official Stake Ranked communications for schedule confirmations and any roster changes within 48 hours of match time. FaZe's recent tournament appearances and NIP's domestic performance metrics provide the primary data points for reassessing the current probability. Programmatic approaches tracking team announcements and tournament bracket updates would flag material changes; the current extreme probability warrants verification against independent sportsbooks covering the same fixture before committing capital.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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