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Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5) 90% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5) 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 80% Volume: $152K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.580%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between QUAZAR and The Last Resort in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B, initially scheduled for July 12 at 9:00AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ES… on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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