Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike 2 lower bracket final between Sashi Esport and Inner Circle Esports in Super Draculan Group A, originally set for 25 June at 2:00 PM ET. The match has already concluded, with Inner Circle Esports winning 2–1 on 25 June at 8:00 PM, confirming the market outcome as Inner Circle Esports and rendering the 0% YES probability for Sashi Esport accurate post-settlement[1][2].

Historically, these two teams have split their previous two encounters evenly, with each side securing one victory, suggesting a competitive but not one-sided rivalry prior to this final[1]. In similar lower bracket finals where odds collapse to 0% for one side after a match completes, the probability reflects the settled result rather than a pre-game prediction, a pattern seen in other CS2 tournament markets where late odds shifts align with final scores[2].

Traders approaching this programmatically should monitor official tournament brackets and match result feeds for real-time settlement triggers, as conditional orders based on pre-match odds become irrelevant once the game concludes[3]. Recent updates from Liquipedia confirm IC Esports (formerly Inner Circle Esports) as a British organisation entering CS2 in January 2025, adding context to their competitive trajectory[6]. No further announcements are expected, as the match outcome is already determined and the settlement window remains open until 26 June 2026.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.