Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

This market tracks the Upper Bracket quarterfinal 4 clash between Sharks and Eternal Fire in the Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1, scheduled for 2:00 PM ET on 23 June 2026. The crowd-implied probability sits at a definitive 100% YES for Sharks winning, suggesting the market views this outcome as virtually certain barring a cancellation or tie.

Historically, 100% implied probabilities in CS2 BO3 matches rarely hold when top-tier academy squads face each other, yet Sharks’ recent form provides a compelling frame. Over the past three months, Sharks played 54 matches and won 29, achieving a 54% win rate, whereas Eternal Fire’s recent B-Tier online results show a more volatile trajectory across May 2026[3][5]. Comparable cases in similar tournaments indicate that when a team with a clear win-rate advantage faces a squad with inconsistent recent B-Tier performance, the market often overcorrects to certainty, creating a false sense of security for conditional order traders.

Traders monitoring this market programmatically should watch for live score dependencies and any announcements regarding roster changes or match delays, as these are the primary catalysts that could invalidate the 100% assumption. Recent Liquipedia data confirms Eternal Fire’s last three matches occurred on B-Tier online events between 19 and 27 May 2026, with no immediate high-stakes B-Tier or A-Tier fixtures scheduled to disrupt their preparation[5]. For a bot executing conditional orders, the settlement window ending 21:30 UTC on 23 June 2026 requires precise timing to avoid exposure to the 50-50 resolution clause if the match begins but remains incomplete.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.