Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs BakS eSports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs BakS eSports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs BakS eSports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs BakS eSports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs BakS eSports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BAKS (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BakS eSports (-9.5) vs Virtus.pro (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-9.5) vs BakS eSports (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs BakS eSports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-12.5) vs BakS eSports (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs BakS eSports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-9.5) vs BakS eSports (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Virtus.pro have already beaten BakS eSports 2–1 in this CIS LAN Championship playoffs semi-final, so a live programme or bot should treat the match as settled rather than speculative; the market’s 0% YES crowd price is consistent with an outcome that has already been decided on the server. SofaScore records the fixture as finished at 12:50 UTC with Virtus.pro 2–1 BakS eSports, which is the key state variable for any automated checker, settlement rule, or conditional order tied to the result.[1]
For context, the pre-match framing still matters when you are modelling similar CIS LAN spots: Virtus.pro were the higher-ranked side in tournament trackers, while BakS came in as the lower-seeded opponent, and community models on Strafe showed a unanimous Virtus.pro lean before play began.[4] That kind of split is typical in BO3 playoff markets where rank, recent form and bracket position dominate, but it also means the price can move sharply on map-one volatility, so copy-trading or alert logic should be built around in-play score updates rather than only the opening number.[3][4]
The main catalysts to watch on future markets like this are official start-time changes, bracket updates, and whether the organiser posts any delay, forfeit or replay notices that could trigger a non-standard resolution window. Liquipedia and tournament schedule pages show CIS LAN Championship #6 as a multi-day regional event running 27 July to 3 August, which is the sort of dependency chain that matters for programmatic settlement because a postponed semi-final can quickly become a same-day queue issue rather than a clean bracket finish.[5][9]
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - C… on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →