Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: CSH.P (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: CYBERSHOKE Prospects (-9.5) vs WW Team (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-9.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
Market context
WW Team’s BO3 against CYBERSHOKE Prospects in the NODWIN Clutch Series playoffs is already live, which matters for a market showing 0% YES: at that point the correct read is not pre-match pricing but execution risk around which side actually closes the series. Liquipedia shows the event is a single-elimination playoff bracket with all matches best-of-three, so the contract should settle on the team that wins the match unless the game is cancelled, tied, or otherwise falls into the 50-50 clause.[12][1]
For historical framing, the cleanest comparable signal is the pair’s previous meeting in November 2025, when WW Team beat CYBERSHOKE Prospects 2-0 in a BO3.[8] More recent third-party pre-match views were also leaning towards WW Team, with one prediction page showing 91.5% of votes for WW and Kalshi listing WW Team at 62% versus 38% for CYBERSHOKE Prospects before play began.[3][15] For a power-user building bots or conditional orders, that means the live trigger to watch is not broad sentiment but the scoreline feed and whether the match status moves from live to completed without a walkover or abandonment.
The main catalysts are scheduling and completion status. Current match listings show the fixture as live, with one source placing it at 11:20 UTC and another at 11:00, so any automation should reconcile by event ID rather than by tip-off time alone.[1][6] If the series is interrupted, delayed beyond seven days, or left without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 under the contract rules; otherwise the only thing that matters is which side is recorded as match winner.[1]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3… on Polymarket Bot UK
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