Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs WW Team (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-9.5) vs WW Team (+9.5) | 48% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 4 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: VP (-2.5) vs WW Team (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs WW Team (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs WW Team (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-9.5) vs Virtus.pro (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: WW (-2.5) vs Virtus.pro (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5) | 0% |
Market context
Virtus.pro and WW Team are due to meet in the CIS LAN Championship playoffs in a best-of-five grand final. The crowd price at 0% YES implies the market is effectively treating a WW Team win as extremely unlikely, which is materially different from a balanced final and usually reflects either a strong favourite already being embedded in the bracket or stale attention rather than live uncertainty.
The cleanest historical anchor is the pair’s recent CIS LAN Championship #6 meeting, where Virtus.pro beat WW Team 2:1 in a best-of-three and advanced into the playoffs.[3][4] That result matters because it gives traders a direct, same-tournament comparison: Virtus.pro have already shown they can win the head-to-head, while WW Team have not yet converted that matchup into a series victory in this event cycle.[3][4] For programmatic use, that argues for weighting recent map-level and series-level form more heavily than generic team reputation, especially because a BO5 reduces variance relative to a BO3.
For catalysts, the main checks are whether the grand final actually starts on schedule, whether the bracket is updated to confirm the final pairing, and whether the format remains a full BO5 rather than being shortened or forfeited.[1][13] Liquipedia currently lists the event page, while match-tracking pages show the teams still associated with the fixture, so a bot watching this market should poll tournament pages for start-state changes and completion signals rather than relying on the headline market alone.[8][1] The settlement rules also matter operationally: if the match is not played, ends level, or slips beyond the 7-day window without a winner, the market resolves 50-50, so any automation should handle cancellations and delays as distinct states rather than simple win/loss outcomes.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LA… on Polymarket Bot UK
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