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Dota 2: Dandelions vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Dandelions vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 50% Game 2 Winner 50% Match Winner 50% O/U 2.5 Games 50% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $254K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Dandelions vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner50%
Game 2 Winner50%
Match Winner50%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5)50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%

Market context

Dandelions and Level UP will compete in a best-of-three Dota 2 match within the EPL Masters Play-In Group B bracket on 25 July at 09:00 ET. The fixture serves as a qualifying round determining advancement through the regional tournament structure. Current market pricing at 48% for Dandelions suggests near-parity assessment between the two rosters, though this reflects limited historical data on direct matchups at this competitive tier.

EPL Masters play-in brackets typically feature regional qualifiers with inconsistent seeding information publicly available. Comparable Dota 2 qualifier matches show volatility in outcomes when rosters lack recent LAN appearances or when team composition changes occur mid-season. The 48% probability implies the market has incorporated some roster-strength differential, though without published recent head-to-head records between these specific squads, traders should treat this as a relatively soft signal. For conditional order logic, the settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on match day, allowing a ten-hour buffer for completion of a best-of-three format.

Traders monitoring this fixture should track official EPL scheduling announcements for any postponements, which would trigger the seven-day delay clause. Roster confirmations and stand-in announcements typically emerge 24–48 hours before play-in matches. The match dependency chain includes broader Group B outcomes, which may influence tiebreaker scenarios if Dandelions or Level UP finish level on wins. Programmatic approaches should flag any schedule amendments through the official ESL Pro League channels, as delayed matches beyond the settlement window would resolve to 50-50 regardless of eventual outcome.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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