Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 74% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 26% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: Enjoy (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5) | 0% |
| Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs Enjoy (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Enjoy and Yakult Brothers are due to meet in a best-of-three elimination match in Games of the Future Group C, with the scheduled start shown as 11:00 UTC and the event listed as an online group-stage fixture from Astana coverage pages.[1][18] The market’s current 0% YES implies the crowd is treating an Enjoy win as the least likely of the two outcomes, even though the series is still structurally a full BO3 with no draw outcome unless the match is not completed under market rules.[2][6]
For context, comparable pre-match reads point to Yakult Brothers as the stronger side: Strafe lists Yakult Brothers above Enjoy in its rankings, and multiple pre-event pages show Yakult Brothers drawing the overwhelming share of public votes or taking the bookmaker edge.[3][9][16] Enjoy had already been beaten 2-0 by GLYPH, while Yakult Brothers lost 2-0 to Zero Tenacity in the same group, which matters because elimination brackets often compress pricing towards the team with the cleaner underlying form rather than the one with the shorter path through a single upset.[17][18]
A programmatic trader would watch three things: whether the start time shifts, whether the bracket is still live, and whether any walkover, cancellation, or incomplete-series condition triggers the market’s 50-50 rule instead of a normal settlement.[2][18] In practice, a bot should poll fixture and score feeds for status changes close to the scheduled window, then stop treating pre-match priors as useful once a match starts, because a launched BO3 can still settle differently if it is halted before completion.[1][11]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of th… on Polymarket Bot UK
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