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Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: GLYPH (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) 100% Volume: $554K Liquidity: $375K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: GLYPH (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?26%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5)1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

GLYPH and Zero Tenacity are meeting in a best-of-three group-stage match at Games of the Future, with both teams having already taken 2-0 wins earlier in the event, which helps explain why the market is printing at 100% yes despite the natural variance in a BO3. GLYPH beat Enjoy 2-0, while Zero Tenacity also arrived with a clean win over Yakult Brothers, so the exchange is effectively treating this as a played-on-schedule fixture rather than a live coin flip on the game outcome.[16][5][3]

For a programmatic read, the main historical comparator is not head-to-head record but current event form, lineup continuity, and whether the match page remains active past the scheduled start. Public previews and ranking snapshots have generally put GLYPH slightly ahead, with one aggregator listing GLYPH around #23-26 and Zero Tenacity around #24-46 depending on source and update timing, while pre-match user and bookmaker signals have leaned towards GLYPH.[10][3][2] That matters for automation because a 100% crowd price can reflect thin float, stale order flow, or a market already incorporating a near-certain schedule completion, rather than guaranteed competitive dominance.[8][11]

The key catalysts to watch are simple but operationally important: the official bracket/status feed, any late schedule shifts from the tournament organiser, and whether the match starts on time in the published window, as the market only resolves 50-50 if it is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner. The current listings place the start at 14:00 UTC, but some localised pages show different regional times, so a bot or conditional-order setup should anchor on the event status rather than a single third-party clock.[1][7][19] If the series begins but is not completed, resolution follows the published abandonment rule, so automated monitoring should watch for a completed BO3 rather than simply a map one update.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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