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Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Volume: $230K Liquidity: $101K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%

Market context

Level UP face Zero Tenacity in a best-of-three Dota 2 series in EPL Masters Group B, with the market set to resolve on the match result or to 50-50 only if the game is not played, ends level, or slips beyond the seven-day delay rule. For a programmatic trader, the first check is whether the fixture actually starts on the scheduled slate and whether a completed winner is recorded, because a forfeit after play begins still resolves to the team awarded the series rather than to 50-50.

Recent head-to-head results are mixed, which is the main reason to read the current 100% crowd-implied probability cautiously. The teams split their last two meetings in the available records, with Level UP winning 2-1 on 22 July 2026 after Zero Tenacity had won an earlier series in the same event cycle[1][2][10]. Broader archives also show a longer back-and-forth rather than a one-sided edge, with tips.gg listing one win each across their last two Dota 2 meetings and a slight map edge for Level UP[7]. That profile matters for bots or copy-trading systems that weight recent series more heavily than raw team name recognition, because the head-to-head does not support a fully priced outcome on its own[1][7].

The live catalysts are straightforward: official bracket updates, any schedule move, and confirmation that the BO3 reaches a finished scoreline. GosuGamers lists the match as upcoming in Group B and identifies Zero Tenacity as the higher-ranked side, which can matter if a lineup tracker is using rating as a prior[6]. Level UP’s recent win over Zero Tenacity in the same event also means any pre-match model should be refreshed against the latest map data, not just season-long aggregates[10]. If the match page stays “upcoming” near the settlement cut-off, the operational risk is not competitive imbalance but whether the fixture is actually played and completed inside the window[6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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