Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

MOUZ meet Yellow Submarine in a best-of-three upper-bracket opener, and the market is pricing a clear favourite at just 4% for Yellow Submarine. The main reason that number looks low is the recent head-to-head: MOUZ beat Yellow Submarine 2-0 on 5 October 2025 at FISSURE Universe: Episode 7, which is the most concrete comparable result in the current matchup set.[5] Public match-history pages for the pairing also show the teams have met before, but the recent clean sweep is the most useful reference point for modelling win probability and map-differential risk.[1][3]

For a trader treating this as a programmatic event, the key is to separate *match state* from *market state*. If the series starts but is not completed, settlement depends on the platform’s rules rather than the in-game scoreline, so automated order logic should watch for “begun”, “completed”, and “official result posted” flags rather than assuming a live lead is enough. The listed start time on team schedule pages is 22 June 2026 at 08:00 UTC, but markets around qualifier play-offs can slip if prior series overrun, so conditional orders should include a time buffer and an explicit cancellation path.[6]

The practical catalysts are schedule integrity and bracket dependency. In a closed qualifier play-off, earlier matches can cascade into delays, and a last-minute reschedule is the main route to a 50-50 outcome if the game is not played or is abandoned beyond the seven-day window. Tracking organiser updates and live scoreboards is more useful than headline form here, because the settlement window ends at 14:00 UTC and any official change to the fixture, venue, or format can matter more than pre-match sentiment.[3][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.