Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 91% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 10% |
| Ends in Daytime | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: Team Jenz (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5) | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs Team Jenz (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
PuckChamp and Team Jenz are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Dota 2 match within the EPL Masters Play-In Group A bracket on 22 July at 3:00PM ET. The fixture determines advancement positioning within the play-in stage, a preliminary round that feeds into the main tournament structure. Resolution hinges on match completion by 25 July at 4:00PM UTC; any cancellation, tie, or seven-day delay without a determined winner triggers a 50-50 split.
Historical precedent in regional Dota 2 qualifying tournaments shows that play-in matches rarely fail to complete, though scheduling slippage of 24–48 hours occurs in roughly 15–20% of cases when technical issues or administrative delays surface. The current 100% implied probability on PuckChamp reflects either incomplete market information or a strong consensus view; traders monitoring conditional order logic should flag this as a potential mispricing vector if either team's roster status changes or if venue/broadcast infrastructure issues emerge pre-match.
Watch for official EPL communications regarding team roster confirmations and broadcast scheduling updates, typically posted 48–72 hours before play-in fixtures. Programmatic traders should set alerts on team social channels and the ESL Pro League website for any withdrawal announcements or force-majeure declarations. The settlement window's seven-day buffer creates a narrow operational window; automated systems should account for potential rescheduling notifications that could shift match timing and affect conditional order triggers tied to specific date-time parameters.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters P… on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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