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Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5) 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 50% Both Teams Beat Roshan 50% Volume: $411K Liquidity: $4K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%

Market context

PuckChamp and Zero Tenacity are scheduled to play a best-of-three in EPL Masters Group B, with the series listed for 09:00 UTC, and current live listings show the match as already underway or completed on some scoreboards. That matters for a programmatic trader because a market that still shows 0% YES can be stale when the underlying event page has moved into live status, so the first check should be whether the settlement source has the same state as the tournament operator and scoreboards.[1][5][6]

Recent comparables point to a close-but-not-equal matchup rather than a one-sided spot: DLTV lists PuckChamp at 41% winrate and Zero Tenacity at 53%, while Strafe’s model and user vote leaned the other way, with PuckChamp treated as a modest favourite. Recent form is also mixed, with PuckChamp taking two of three prior EPL Masters play-in series before this match, while Zero Tenacity had a stronger run in its own recent fixtures, so a bot reading only headline probability would miss the fact that the market is sitting on a live contest with prior data already embedded in the price.[3][15]

For catalysts, the practical triggers are simple: verify whether the match has started, whether map two or map three is in progress, and whether any official timeout, forfeit, or replay ruling appears in the tournament feed, because those are the points that change settlement logic. If the series is abandoned or delayed beyond seven days, the market resolves 50-50, so automated orders should watch for schedule changes, official bracket updates, and score-provider discrepancies rather than relying on a single sportsbook-style page.[1][2][10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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