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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Live odds for "Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Both Teams Destroy Barracks 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 100% Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) 100% Ends in Daytime 91% Volume: $305K Liquidity: $411K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)100%
Ends in Daytime91%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Zero Tenacity and Ilbirs eSports will compete in a best-of-three Dota 2 match within the EPL Masters Play-In Group B bracket on 24 July 2026, with the fixture scheduled for 12:00 PM ET. The EPL Masters represents a secondary qualification pathway for regional Dota 2 competition, where teams vie for advancement through group-stage play-ins. Resolution hinges on match completion by 23:50 UTC on the settlement date; any cancellation, tie result, or unresolved status beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 split outcome.

The current 0% implied probability for Zero Tenacity reflects either incomplete roster information available to market participants or a significant disparity in recent form between the two squads. Historical precedent in Dota 2 play-in brackets shows that teams entering with weaker seeding frequently underperform against established rosters, though upsets remain possible when preparation gaps exist. Comparable EPL Masters fixtures have settled decisively when one team held clear structural advantages—coaching depth, recent LAN experience, or stable five-stack continuity.

Traders monitoring this market should track official EPL scheduling announcements for any postponements or format changes, which would trigger the seven-day delay clause. Roster confirmations and last-minute stand-in announcements typically emerge 48–72 hours before match time; these directly affect win probability through player-specific hero pools and team coordination metrics. Conditional order logic should account for the 50-50 resolution pathway, as technical delays or administrative cancellations occur occasionally in regional qualifier brackets.

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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