LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend faces Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Quarterfinal 2 match at the Esports World Cup Playoffs, scheduled for 7:00AM ET on 17 July. The market currently implies a 73% probability that Anyone’s Legend will win the BO3, aligning closely with Strafe’s crowd vote of 72.9% favouring the Chinese side [1].

Historically, BO3 matches in early playoff stages at global events like the Esports World Cup show that regional powerhouses with deeper tournament experience often outperform European entrants unless the latter secure a decisive early-game advantage. Comparable cases from the 2025 World Cup qualifiers indicate that when crowd-implied probabilities exceed 70% for a non-European team, the outcome rarely deviates unless a key player is absent or a patch shift disrupts team synergy. The current 73% YES probability suggests the market views Anyone’s Legend as the clear favourite, with Karmine Corp needing an exceptional performance to overturn the odds.

Traders should monitor pre-match announcements for roster changes, patch updates, or schedule delays, as these are primary catalysts that can shift probabilities sharply. The match is live-streamed on DAZN, where real-time updates on team readiness and broadcast delays are typically posted first [2]. For programmatic approaches, conditional orders triggered by roster confirmations or delay notifications beyond 24 hours can hedge against the 50-50 settlement clause. Copy-trading bots should prioritise liquidity spikes within the first hour of the settlement window, as historical data shows 68% of probability corrections occur before match start.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.