LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

The Bandits and ZennIT were scheduled to meet in a best-of-three on 23 July in the Road Of Legends Regular Season, with market settlement tied to the match result rather than the broader season table. A current crowd-implied price of **100% YES** leaves little spread for uncertainty, which usually means the market is already pricing in that the match was either played and resolved in favour of the YES side, or that the feed being used by traders has effectively treated the outcome as locked in[1].

For a programme-driven workflow, the useful check is not the headline probability but the event state: confirm whether the series started, whether all games were completed, and whether any forfeiture or postponement logic applies before the settlement window closes. In comparable esports markets, near-certain pricing often reflects either a completed result or a data-edge from a live schedule page rather than genuine forecasting value; here, the match listing shows The Bandits vs ZennIT as a defined Road of Legends 2026 Summer fixture, which is the sort of canonical reference traders use to reconcile bot signals against official or semi-official scheduling data[1].

The main catalysts to watch are simple but operationally important: any reschedule notice, bracket or match-page update, and whether either team posts confirmation of a delay, walkover, or administrative change. If the match was not played by the settlement cut-off, the contract rules matter more than the odds feed, because cancellation, tie, or an unresolved delay can force a 50-50 outcome even when the market had been pinned at 100%[1].

Sources: 1

Methodology

We track LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.