Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% Bilibili Gaming Junior | 100% T1 Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) | 100% T1 Academy | 0% Bilibili Gaming Junior |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% YES | 91% NO |
Market context
Asia Masters Group B will feature a best-of-three encounter between Bilibili Gaming Junior and T1 Academy on 9 June at 04:00 ET. The match determines advancement within the regional academy-level competition, with T1 Academy representing the Seoul-based organisation's development roster and Bilibili Gaming Junior fielding China's secondary squad. Both teams compete within structured league frameworks where roster changes, injury disclosures, and coaching adjustments typically occur on published schedules rather than ad hoc.
The 0% implied probability reflects either incomplete market liquidity or genuine uncertainty about match occurrence rather than confidence in either team's performance. Academy-tier League of Legends fixtures carry higher cancellation risk than mainline professional matches due to player rotation policies and development priorities. T1's academy programme has historically maintained fixture consistency, though Bilibili Gaming's secondary team operates within China's LDL (League Development League) structure, where scheduling adjustments occur mid-season. The settlement window extends to 14:00 UTC on 9 June, providing a narrow window for resolution; matches delayed beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 split regardless of eventual outcome.
Traders monitoring this market should track official Asia Masters fixture announcements and both organisations' roster bulletins in the week preceding the match. Conditional order logic should account for the tie-resolution clause—if either team fields an incomplete roster or the match concludes without a decisive winner, the market settles evenly. Programmatic tracking of LDL and T1 Academy official channels provides earliest notice of scheduling changes or player availability issues that might affect fixture status.
Methodology
We track LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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