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LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Bot UK.

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Any Player Quadra Kill 100% Any Player Penta Kill 100% Volume: $815K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Any Player Quadra Kill100%
Any Player Penta Kill100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Match Winner0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%

Market context

DN SOOPers and KT Rolster faced off in a KeSPA Cup Group Stage League of Legends match that has already concluded, with KT Rolster securing the victory. The game ended with a 2:1 scoreline in a Bo3 format during the LCK Cup 2026 Group Battle, lasting two hours and thirty-nine minutes, confirming KT as the definitive winner [2].

Historical precedents in Korean esports show that when a match result is already public and the outcome is unambiguous, prediction markets with zero implied probability for the losing side typically reflect settled reality rather than uncertainty. In similar post-event scenarios, markets resolve immediately to the confirmed winner, as the 0% YES probability for DN SOOPers aligns with the known 2:1 loss, eliminating any speculative value [1].

Traders should monitor official settlement confirmations from the KeSPA Cup organisers and cross-reference with LCK Cup archives to ensure no administrative delays affect resolution. Recent updates from esports trackers confirm the match result is final, with no pending cancellations or forfeitures that would trigger the 50-50 clause [2]. For programmatic approaches, conditional orders should be set to auto-execute once the settlement window closes, as the outcome is already determined and no further catalysts will alter the result.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

We track LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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