Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Eintracht Spandau | 0% Anubis Gaming |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Eintracht Spandau | 100% Anubis Gaming |
| Match Winner | 100% Eintracht Spandau | 0% Anubis Gaming |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) | 0% Eintracht Spandau | 100% Anubis Gaming |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Eintracht Spandau face Anubis Gaming in a League of Legends decider match within EMEA Masters Group D, scheduled for 12 June at 2:00PM ET. The best-of-three format determines advancement or elimination from the group stage. The settlement window closes at 22:50 UTC on the same date, allowing approximately 20 hours for match completion and result confirmation. The 100% implied probability suggests market participants expect the fixture to proceed as scheduled without material uncertainty around execution.
EMEA Masters decider matches have historically proceeded on schedule with minimal cancellation risk; the format's group-stage structure creates strong incentives for both organisations and the league operator to complete fixtures within the designated window. Comparable BO3 encounters in regional qualifying rounds typically resolve within 2–3 hours of start time, well within the settlement deadline. The primary historical risk—technical outages forcing rescheduling—has diminished with improved broadcast infrastructure across European venues.
Traders monitoring this market should track official EMEA Masters announcements regarding roster changes, substitute players, or venue complications in the 48 hours preceding the match. Conditional order logic should account for the 7-day delay clause: if the match begins but remains unresolved beyond 19 June without a winner, the market settles 50-50 regardless of partial progress. Real-time score feeds from official League sources (lolesports.com) will be essential for confirming completion status, particularly if either team requests technical pauses that could extend match duration near the settlement deadline.
Methodology
We track LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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