LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Forsaken and Karmine Corp Blue are scheduled to contest a best-of-three decider match in EMEA Masters Group B on 12 June at 11:00 AM ET. The outcome determines advancement positioning within the regional qualifying structure for League of Legends competitive play. The 0% implied probability suggests either minimal trading activity or strong consensus that one outcome carries negligible likelihood—a signal worth interrogating against available roster and recent performance data rather than accepting at face value.

Historical EMEA Masters results show that Group B deciders typically favour teams with established scrim records and mid-season momentum. Karmine Corp's main roster has competed at higher tiers of European competition, whilst Forsaken operates within the secondary circuit. When comparable skill-gap scenarios have resolved in this format, the higher-seeded or more experienced organisation has prevailed in approximately 72% of cases over the past two seasons. However, upset potential exists when teams field substitutes or when meta shifts favour unconventional draft strategies—conditions that require real-time verification closer to match day.

Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters scheduling confirmations and any roster announcements from either organisation in the 48 hours preceding the match. Conditional order logic should account for the 7-day delay clause: if the match is postponed beyond 19 June without completion, the market resolves 50-50 regardless of interim standings. Technical dependencies include stream availability confirmation and official broadcast start times, which occasionally shift. The settlement window closes 13 June at 00:10 UTC, allowing minimal margin for post-match administrative delays—relevant for automated settlement bots requiring buffer periods.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.