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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Bot UK.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 75% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 70% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Volume: $133K Liquidity: $412K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?70%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Match Winner64%
Game 1 Winner61%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?59%
Game 2 Winner57%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%

Market context

Gen.G and T1 meet in a best-of-three League of Legends series, with the market currently pricing Gen.G at 61% against T1. That sits close to the recent pattern in this rivalry: Gen.G have generally been the steadier side across the last year, including a 2–1 win over T1 in LCK 2025 Round 3–5, while T1 also proved they can flip the matchup when execution and draft line up, as seen in their later series win in 2025 and the broader split of results in head-to-head play. [1][2][15][18]

For traders automating around this market, the useful trigger points are not just the line-up cards but the series status itself. The market settles on the match winner, but a no-contest, cancellation, or delay beyond seven days without a winner would push it to 50-50, so programme any conditional orders or bot logic to react to official start announcements and any change to the scheduled 31 July slot. The listed match page shows the fixture as Gen.G versus T1 in the 2026 LCK Round 3–4 Legend Group, which is the dependency to watch for confirmation rather than relying on third-party previews. [6][11][12]

From a probabilistic angle, 61% implies the crowd is leaning Gen.G, but not treating the edge as decisive. That is consistent with a rivalry where map control, draft priority and mid-game conversion have repeatedly swung results both ways, making live or pre-match automation most sensitive to late roster news, patch context and whether the broadcast goes ahead on time. [1][5][16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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