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LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5) 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 59% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 58% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 58% Volume: $106K Liquidity: $431K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon58%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon58%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
O/U 2.5 Games26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game 2 Winner14%
Game 1 Winner13%
Match Winner7%

Market context

GIANTX iTero are playing Team Heretics Academy in a best-of-three LES regular-season match, and the market is pricing a fairly low chance of a GIANTX iTero win at 13%. In practical terms, that is a longshot relative to the wider retail read: Strafe’s match page shows users heavily backing GIANTX iTero at 80% of votes, which is useful as a sentiment benchmark but not a substitute for the market price.[1]

For a power-user watching this programmatically, the key comparison is not just team strength but the event state: whether the fixture stays on schedule, starts cleanly, and produces a completed winner before the settlement window closes. A useful historical reference is that these sides have met before in LES Spring 2026, where Team Heretics Academy won 2-0.[2] That kind of prior result matters less than current roster continuity, but it is the sort of datapoint that a bot or conditional-order rule can use to sanity-check a heavily discounted underdog price.

The main catalysts to monitor are official match status updates, any bracket or schedule changes, and whether the series actually begins before the 23:30 UTC settlement cutoff. The market rules also matter operationally: if the match is cancelled, tied, or pushed beyond seven days without a winner, it resolves 50-50 rather than to either side, so a bot should treat late schedule slippage as a separate outcome path, not just a delayed result.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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