Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
72% | 28% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
72% | 28% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5) | 72% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 59% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 58% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 58% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 52% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 38% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 38% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 38% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 38% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 38% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 38% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Game 2 Winner | 14% |
| Game 1 Winner | 13% |
| Match Winner | 7% |
Market context
GIANTX iTero are playing Team Heretics Academy in a best-of-three LES regular-season match, and the market is pricing a fairly low chance of a GIANTX iTero win at 13%. In practical terms, that is a longshot relative to the wider retail read: Strafe’s match page shows users heavily backing GIANTX iTero at 80% of votes, which is useful as a sentiment benchmark but not a substitute for the market price.[1]
For a power-user watching this programmatically, the key comparison is not just team strength but the event state: whether the fixture stays on schedule, starts cleanly, and produces a completed winner before the settlement window closes. A useful historical reference is that these sides have met before in LES Spring 2026, where Team Heretics Academy won 2-0.[2] That kind of prior result matters less than current roster continuity, but it is the sort of datapoint that a bot or conditional-order rule can use to sanity-check a heavily discounted underdog price.
The main catalysts to monitor are official match status updates, any bracket or schedule changes, and whether the series actually begins before the 23:30 UTC settlement cutoff. The market rules also matter operationally: if the match is cancelled, tied, or pushed beyond seven days without a winner, it resolves 50-50 rather than to either side, so a bot should treat late schedule slippage as a separate outcome path, not just a delayed result.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - L… on Polymarket Bot UK
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