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LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Bot UK.

Match Winner 73% Game 2 Winner 67% Game 1 Winner 66% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 51% Volume: $117K Liquidity: $695K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner73%
Game 2 Winner67%
Game 1 Winner66%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)46%
O/U 2.5 Games43%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?28%

Market context

Movistar KOI meet GIANTX in a best-of-three LEC regular-season series, and the market’s **66%** crowd price implies KOI are a clear, but not overwhelming, favourite. In programmatic terms, that is the kind of number that usually sits above a coin-flip because the event is a multi-map series, but still leaves room for a single draft mistake, pause, or early-game snowball to flip the result. Recent matchup data leans KOI: one preview cites an **86% head-to-head record** for KOI across previous meetings, while another notes KOI have won **four of the last five** encounters, including several BO3s, which supports treating the current price as slightly conservative rather than extreme.[1][5]

For traders using bots, alerts, or conditional entries, the key inputs are not just team strength but also whether the series starts on time and with the expected format. The market resolves to 50-50 if the match is not played, tied, or pushed more than seven days beyond the scheduled date, so schedule confirmation matters as much as champion select. A live-match source lists the start at **17:15 UTC**, matching the 1:15 PM ET slot, which makes pre-start liquidity and late line movement the main operational focus rather than long-dated scheduling risk.[14] One current preview also flags KOI’s recent form as stronger overall, with GIANTX capable of pressure if they draft aggressively or find early tempo, so an automated approach would typically watch roster lock, broadcast start, and any last-minute competitive rulings before committing size.[11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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