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LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5) 100% Volume: $175K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

NRG Esports and CCG Esports are scheduled for a best-of-three in the North American Challengers League group stage, with the market settling on the match winner if it is played to completion. For a programmatic read, the main job is to track whether the fixture actually starts and, if it does, whether it reaches a completed series before the 7-day fallback window expires; partial-play edge cases matter because a cancelled, tied, or excessively delayed match resolves 50-50. [1]

The 100% crowd-implied price leaves no visible disagreement in the market, so the practical question is not direction but event integrity. Comparable NACL listings show NRG has already been on the stronger side of this pairing, with Sheep Esports recording an NRG 2–1 result over CCG in an earlier NACL match, which is the sort of prior head-to-head signal that can anchor automated models when live team news is thin. [2]

For traders using bots or conditional orders, the key catalysts are simple: official schedule confirmation, any postponement notice, roster changes, and whether the series is moved within the settlement window. The market description’s edge cases mean a bot should treat “not played”, “abandoned”, and “delayed beyond seven days” as separate states rather than assuming a normal win/loss outcome. [1]

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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