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LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Volume: $181K Liquidity: $163K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

The underlying event is a best-of-three League of Legends match between ROSSMANN Centaurs and E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS in Prime League 1st Division Group A. A current 0% YES price implies the market is already pricing ROSSMANN Centaurs as essentially dead, which is consistent with the match result being recorded elsewhere as a 0:2 win for E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS.[1]

For a trader building a programme around this market, the first check is whether the contest has in fact already resolved on the underlying event feed before the settlement window closes. Historical handling on prediction venues usually follows the published match outcome unless the game is cancelled, tied, or left without a winner beyond the delay rule; in those edge cases, the market can settle 50-50 rather than on the scoreboard result. That means the practical comparator here is not “who is stronger”, but “has the result been officially locked in by a live score or results source, and does it match the market’s resolution rules?”[1]

The main catalysts are therefore administrative rather than competitive: official match start status, any schedule change, and whether the series is reported as completed or abandoned. A bot or copy-trading setup should monitor the event page, the league schedule, and a secondary results source for confirmation, then reconcile that against the settlement window end time. Because the cited results source already lists E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS as the 2-0 winner, the remaining risk is not sporting uncertainty but data latency or an unusual cancellation outcome.[1]

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO… on Polymarket Bot UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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