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Sweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Sweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

27% YES 73% NO Volume: $547K Liquidity: $4.6M Closes: 15 Jun 2026
Trade on Polymarket Bot UK →
Sweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Bot UK Pick
polygram.ink
27% 73% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Bot UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
27% 73% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Bot UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Bot UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Bot UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Bot UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.

Active sub-markets

Sweden (-1.5)27% Sweden74% Tunisia
Tunisia (-1.5)7% Tunisia94% Sweden
Sweden (-2.5)11% Sweden90% Tunisia
Tunisia (-2.5)2% Tunisia98% Sweden
O/U 0.592% Over9% Under
O/U 1.571% Over30% Under

Market context

Sweden and Tunisia are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup group-stage fixture on 14 June 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The market settles on whether additional markets for this specific match will be created on the platform, with settlement occurring at 02:00 UTC on 15 June—approximately four hours after the final whistle. The 27% implied probability reflects moderate confidence that supplementary betting instruments beyond standard match outcomes will be offered.

Historical precedent suggests that major tournament matches between established footballing nations and smaller confederations typically generate secondary markets. During the 2022 World Cup, matches involving European sides against African opponents consistently spawned derivative markets covering goal-scorer props, card accumulation, and corner-kick totals. Tunisia's participation in three of the last four World Cups indicates sufficient liquidity interest to justify expanded market coverage. Sweden's consistent qualification record and European profile further supports the likelihood of granular market creation.

Traders should monitor FIFA's official fixture confirmation and platform announcements in the week preceding the match. Liquidity depth on primary match markets serves as a leading indicator: if opening volumes on Sweden–Tunisia exceed typical group-stage thresholds, platform operators typically green-light secondary instruments within 48 hours of kickoff. Recent platform expansions at comparable tournaments have followed this pattern. Additionally, any late-stage team news affecting squad composition—particularly injuries to key players—can influence whether markets justify operational overhead, though this remains secondary to baseline fixture demand.

Methodology

This page reviews Sweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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