Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
27% | 73% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
27% | 73% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Sweden (-1.5) | 27% Sweden | 74% Tunisia |
| Tunisia (-1.5) | 7% Tunisia | 94% Sweden |
| Sweden (-2.5) | 11% Sweden | 90% Tunisia |
| Tunisia (-2.5) | 2% Tunisia | 98% Sweden |
| O/U 0.5 | 92% Over | 9% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 71% Over | 30% Under |
Market context
Sweden and Tunisia are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup group-stage fixture on 14 June 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The market settles on whether additional markets for this specific match will be created on the platform, with settlement occurring at 02:00 UTC on 15 June—approximately four hours after the final whistle. The 27% implied probability reflects moderate confidence that supplementary betting instruments beyond standard match outcomes will be offered.
Historical precedent suggests that major tournament matches between established footballing nations and smaller confederations typically generate secondary markets. During the 2022 World Cup, matches involving European sides against African opponents consistently spawned derivative markets covering goal-scorer props, card accumulation, and corner-kick totals. Tunisia's participation in three of the last four World Cups indicates sufficient liquidity interest to justify expanded market coverage. Sweden's consistent qualification record and European profile further supports the likelihood of granular market creation.
Traders should monitor FIFA's official fixture confirmation and platform announcements in the week preceding the match. Liquidity depth on primary match markets serves as a leading indicator: if opening volumes on Sweden–Tunisia exceed typical group-stage thresholds, platform operators typically green-light secondary instruments within 48 hours of kickoff. Recent platform expansions at comparable tournaments have followed this pattern. Additionally, any late-stage team news affecting squad composition—particularly injuries to key players—can influence whether markets justify operational overhead, though this remains secondary to baseline fixture demand.
Methodology
This page reviews Sweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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