Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Uruguay and Cabo Verde are due to meet in Group H of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, with FIFA listing the fixture as Uruguay v Cabo Verde and a kick-off countdown attached to the match centre.[1][5] For an exact-score market, the key operational point is that settlement depends only on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalties do not matter unless the match is somehow delayed beyond the normal completion window.[1]

A 6% crowd-implied yes price is low for a single precise scoreline, but that is normal when one side is a clear favourite and the market is effectively pricing one narrow outcome against all other final scores. Public preview material and bookmaker-style pricing in circulating pre-match discussion point to Uruguay as the stronger side, with Cabo Verde priced as a very large outsider, which makes 0-0, 1-0, 2-0 and similar Uruguay wins the main cluster of plausible results rather than any exact score carrying a large share on its own.[2][6] For programmatic traders, that usually means modelling the score distribution first, then mapping only the target line into the YES leg rather than treating the market as a simple winner bet.

The main catalysts to watch are team news, confirmed line-ups, and any last-minute changes to the kick-off or match status on FIFA’s live match centre.[1] If a bot is polling this market, the useful triggers are starting XI announcements, weather or pitch-related delays, and whether the fixture remains live in FIFA’s system close to the scheduled start, because those are the events most likely to move an exact-score book more sharply than broad pre-match narratives.[1][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.