Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Lower bracket final of the The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs, where 4 Anchors and Ilmeria face the bug in a best-of-three match originally set for 26 June at 4:00 PM ET. The market currently implies a 50% chance that 4 Anchors and Ilmeria win, reflecting the tight nature of regional qualifier finals where lower-bracket teams often show renewed resilience after early elimination.

Historically, similar NA qualifier finals have resolved with near-even odds when both sides possess comparable recent form; for instance, lower-bracket teams in TI regional qualifiers frequently overturn deficits or secure narrow victories in BO3s, as seen in past TI15 regional data where 4 Anchors and Ilmeria previously advanced after lower-bracket play[5][6]. This pattern suggests the 50% probability is not an anomaly but a calibrated reflection of competitive balance, where map 1 outcomes often dictate the series trajectory, as Kalshi’s map 1 market already resolved in favour of 4 Anchors and Ilmeria[1].

Traders should monitor the official match status on Dota2.ru and Cybersport.ru for any delays or cancellations, as the settlement window closes 27 June at 02:00 UTC and unresolved matches default to 50-50[2][8]. Key catalysts include real-time score updates showing the current BO3 score (currently 0:1 in favour of the bug as of 23:00 on 26 June) and any roster changes or patch updates affecting team strategies[8]. Programmatic approaches would involve conditional orders tied to live score feeds, with bots executing trades only if the series reaches a decisive third map, given the volatility inherent in lower-bracket reversals.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Bot UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.