Morocco vs. Haiti - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup Group C match between Morocco and Haiti is set for 6:00 PM ET on 24 June 2026 at Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta, with the market resolving strictly on the 90-minute regulation score. Morocco, having already secured passage to the Round of 32 with a win against Scotland, faces Haiti in their final group fixture, a scenario where team motivation and tactical adjustments often diverge from standard expectations [1][5].

Historically, exact-score markets in World Cup group stages with a 5% implied probability for a specific outcome typically reflect the volatility of late-group matches where one side may prioritise defensive stability over attacking flair. Comparable cases show that when a team like Morocco, with a strong defensive record averaging 0.4 opponent points per game, plays a team like Haiti, the probability of a specific high-scoring exact outcome drops significantly unless both sides are forced to attack [2][4]. The current 5% figure suggests the market views a precise scoreline as an outlier compared to the more likely outcomes of a draw or a narrow win.

Traders monitoring this market programmatically should watch for final line-up announcements and any in-match tactical shifts, particularly if Morocco opts to rest key players after their Round of 32 qualification. Recent previews indicate Morocco’s hard-fought win against Scotland may influence their approach, potentially leading to a more conservative display against Haiti [5]. Conditional order bots should be configured to react to live goal data, as the settlement window excludes extra time and penalty shoot-outs, meaning any late goals in regulation will immediately alter the probability distribution for the exact score [6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Morocco vs. Haiti - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.