Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Eurovision 2026 in Vienna is the underlying event, with the entrant’s final position determined by the combined jury and televote score after the live final. A 41% market-implied YES suggests the market sees a plausible but far from certain top-10 finish. For programmatic traders, the key is that the payoff is binary but the path is stateful: once a song is eliminated in a semi-final, the market can resolve to No immediately, so any automated strategy should treat qualification status as a hard gating condition before modelling top-10 odds. Historical Eurovision markets tend to tighten sharply after semi-final running orders, rehearsal clips and bookmakers’ line moves, rather than drifting evenly through the season.

The main catalysts are the official draw, semi-final line-up, rehearsal releases, and the live performance order, all of which can move the probability more than pre-contest hype. Eurovision’s own participant and results pages are the primary source for confirmed qualifiers and final scoring, while recent reporting has already pointed to a 35-country contest in 2026, making the qualification stage the first major filter before any top-10 question is meaningful. For hands-on monitoring, a bot would watch the Eurovision schedule for song reveals, rehearsal snippets, and the publication of the grand final running order, then update conditional orders only after the candidate survives the semi-final. If the entrant is in the final, the decisive signals are jury-friendly staging, televote appeal, and where the song sits in the running order, all of which tend to correlate with late market repricing.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Eurovision 2026: Top 10 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.