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What will Trump say during his remarks in Georgia?

Five-platform snapshot of "What will Trump say during his remarks in Georgia?" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times 100% Family 5+ times 100% Joe / Biden 3+ times 100% Landslide 100% Volume: $122K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
Open live market →
What will Trump say during his remarks in Georgia?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times100%
Family 5+ times100%
Joe / Biden 3+ times100%
Landslide100%
Friend of Mine100%
Big Beautiful Bill100%
Too Big to Rig100%
Save America Act100%
Communist / Communism100%
Stock Market100%
Fake News100%
Hottest100%
Tariff100%
Transgender100%
First Term100%
Venezuela100%
AI / Artificial Intelligence100%
Fraud100%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline100%
Trump 5+ times100%
Buy Dell / Buy a Dell100%
Egg100%
Melania0%
Booming0%
Ceasefire0%
Crypto / Bitcoin0%
Supreme Court0%
Six Seven0%
-No Qualifying Event-0%
School Choice0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to what will trump say during his remarks in georgia?. Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Marietta, Georgia, on July 22, 2026. (https://x.com/LizHuston33/status/2077836333351940296?s=20). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump sa…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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