# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate views across its first two days online, with this market tracking the precise view count at the 48-hour mark. The resolution depends on YouTube's public view counter, which updates in near-real-time but occasionally lags during periods of extreme traffic. Traders automating view-tracking via YouTube's Data API will need to account for these refresh delays and establish polling intervals that balance data freshness against API quota consumption.

Historical performance of MrBeast's recent uploads shows considerable variance in day-two view trajectories. Videos posted in 2024–2025 have ranged from 40–80 million views within 48 hours, depending on content category, thumbnail effectiveness, and algorithmic promotion. Comparable creators in the ultra-high-view segment (SET India, T-Series) demonstrate that initial momentum typically sustains or slightly decelerates by day two, though viral anomalies do occur. The 0% implied probability suggests market participants expect the video to underperform historical norms significantly, or that settlement mechanics present execution risk.

Traders should monitor MrBeast's upload schedule and content type—collaborations and challenge videos historically outpace other formats. YouTube's algorithm behaviour during major platform events or competing viral content can suppress view velocity. Conditional order logic should account for the possibility that the view counter freezes or displays anomalously during the settlement window, requiring manual verification against archived snapshots. The June 2026 deadline allows sufficient time for the full 48-hour window to elapse before resolution.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.