PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Memorial Tournament presented by Workday takes place annually at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, typically in early June. The 2026 edition will run 1–7 June, with settlement occurring immediately after the official PGA Tour result is confirmed. This market requires traders to identify which of the listed players will claim the title, with any unlisted winner triggering an "Other" resolution and immediate elimination of any listed-player position.

Historical context shows the Memorial has produced consistent winners across a narrow field of elite competitors. Since 2015, the tournament has been won by players ranked within the top 50 globally at time of play; notably, Jack Nicklaus's course design favours technical ball-strikers and course management over raw power. Comparable markets on major championships and signature events demonstrate that 0% implied probability typically reflects either incomplete field data at listing time or a listed cohort that excludes the tournament favourite. Reviewing prior years' field compositions and winner profiles—particularly whether recent form leaders were included in the listed players—provides the baseline for assessing whether the current probability reflects genuine market consensus or data lag.

Traders should monitor PGA Tour announcements regarding field confirmations (typically 4–6 weeks pre-tournament), injury reports on listed players, and recent form metrics from May events. The Charles Schwab Challenge (late May) and other late-spring tournaments serve as direct form indicators. Programmatically, conditional orders keyed to withdrawal announcements or ranking shifts become relevant; any listed player's elimination under official rules triggers immediate "No" resolution, making automated monitoring of eligibility status essential for position management.

Methodology

We track PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.