Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo | 0% |
| Completed Match | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 3 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 4 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: benjamin bonzi vs gabriel diallo. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Gabriel Diallo in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo on Polymarket Bot UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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