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National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell

How the prediction-market book is pricing "National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Set 1 O/U 8.5 75% National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Match O/U 21.5 61% National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Match O/U 22.5 55% Completed Match 50% Volume: $59K Liquidity: $319K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Set 1 O/U 8.575%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Match O/U 21.561%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Match O/U 22.555%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Set 1 O/U 9.548%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Match O/U 23.548%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Set 2 Winner46%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Set 1 Winner45%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell43%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Set Handicap +/-1.536%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Set 1 O/U 10.536%
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell Set Handicap +/-1.525%

Market context

Market consensus: 75% chance of national bank open: james duckworth vs christopher o'connell. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Christopher O'Connell in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This mar…

Methodology

This page reviews National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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