Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Karl Poling and Andre Ilagan are scheduled to compete in a tennis match at the Tyler event on 6 June 2026, with settlement tied to the original 12:30PM ET start time. The market's 0% YES probability reflects either minimal liquidity, sparse trading activity, or a technical configuration issue, as professional tennis matches between ranked or semi-professional players typically attract at least modest probability ranges. Settlement hinges on match completion by 13 June 2026 at 16:30 UTC; any cancellation, tie result, or delay exceeding seven days without a determined winner triggers a 50-50 resolution, whilst retirement by either player after the match begins counts as an advance for the opponent.

Comparable lower-tier professional and satellite circuit matches show settlement volatility driven by weather delays, player injury disclosures, and last-minute withdrawals. Traders monitoring this market should track ATP Challenger or ITF circuit schedules for both players' recent form, injury reports, and withdrawal patterns. The Tyler venue's historical scheduling reliability and surface conditions merit verification through official tournament websites or regional tennis databases. Programmatically, conditional orders tied to official tournament confirmation announcements would reduce false-positive triggers; automated feeds from the ATP or ITF should flag any reschedules or cancellations within 48 hours of the scheduled date.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Bot UK?

Zero. Polymarket Bot UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Bot UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.