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Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-2.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $155K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 38.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 40.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda0%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 36.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Total Sets: O/U 3.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon atp: pablo llamas ruiz vs zachary svajda stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Zachary Svajda in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

We track Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Bot UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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