Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Bot UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of zug: dominic stephan stricker vs francesco passaro. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Dominic Stephan Stricker and Francesco Passaro in the Zug, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Bot UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Zug: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Francesco Passaro on Polymarket Bot UK
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