Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Bot UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Bot UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Bot UK.
Active sub-markets
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Alex Bolt | 100% Oliver Tarvet | 0% Alex Bolt |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Alex Bolt Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Alex Bolt Match O/U 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Alex Bolt Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Alex Bolt Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% Over 2.5 | 100% Under 2.5 |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon, qualification atp: oliver tarvet vs alex bolt stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Oliver Tarvet and Alex Bolt in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Bot UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Bot UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Alex … on Polymarket Bot UK
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